{"id":273026,"date":"2026-07-29T03:00:48","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T08:00:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/langcom.org\/?p=273026"},"modified":"2026-07-29T03:00:48","modified_gmt":"2026-07-29T08:00:48","slug":"future-probability-b2-b2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/langcom.org\/ru\/blog\/future-probability-b2-b2\/","title":{"rendered":"Expressing Future Probability in English: A B2 Guide"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"lc-answer\"><strong>To express future probability in English, we use a variety of modal verbs, adverbs, and phrases to show how certain or uncertain we are about an event happening.<\/strong> These expressions allow us to communicate different degrees of likelihood, from almost 100% certain to almost 0% certain. For example, we use <span data-no-translation>will certainly<\/span> for high probability, <span data-no-translation>may<\/span> \u0438\u043b\u0438 <span data-no-translation>might<\/span> for medium probability, and <span data-no-translation>probably won&#8217;t<\/span> for low probability. Mastering these forms helps you sound more natural and precise when discussing future plans, predictions, or possibilities. Understanding the nuances of these expressions is key for B2 learners.<\/div>\n<h2>Why is it important to talk about future probability?<\/h2>\n<p>When we talk about the future, we are often not 100% sure about what will happen. We make predictions, guesses, or talk about possibilities.<\/p>\n<p>Learning to express different levels of certainty is very useful. It helps you:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Share your predictions clearly.<\/li>\n<li>Understand other people&#8217;s opinions about the future.<\/li>\n<li>Sound more natural and fluent in English conversations.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"lc-cta lc-cta-placement\" style=\"border-radius:14px;padding:30px;margin:30px 0;text-align:center;color:#fff;background:linear-gradient(135deg,#2B87DA,#29C4A9);\"><h3 style=\"color:#fff;font-size:22px;font-weight:800;margin:0 0 8px;\">\u270d\ufe0f \u041d\u0435 \u0437\u043d\u0430\u0435\u0442\u0435, \u043d\u0430 \u043a\u0430\u043a\u043e\u043c \u0443\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043d\u0435 \u0432\u044b \u043d\u0430\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0441\u044c?<\/h3><p style=\"margin:0 0 16px;opacity:.95;\">\u041f\u0440\u043e\u0439\u0434\u0438\u0442\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u0448 \u0431\u0435\u0441\u043f\u043b\u0430\u0442\u043d\u044b\u0439 \u0442\u0435\u0441\u0442 \u043d\u0430 \u043e\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u0443\u0440\u043e\u0432\u043d\u044f \u0438 \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0443\u0447\u0438\u0442\u0435 \u0438\u043d\u0434\u0438\u0432\u0438\u0434\u0443\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u0440\u0435\u043a\u043e\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0434\u0430\u0446\u0438\u0438 \u043e\u0442 \u0441\u0435\u0440\u0442\u0438\u0444\u0438\u0446\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0445 \u044d\u043a\u0437\u0430\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u0432 \u041a\u0435\u043c\u0431\u0440\u0438\u0434\u0436\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0443\u043d\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u0442\u0430.<\/p><a href=\"\/ru\/%d0%b0%d0%bd%d0%b3%d0%bb%d0%b8%d0%b9%d1%81%d0%ba%d0%b8%d0%b9\/%d0%b0%d0%ba%d0%b0%d0%b4%d0%b5%d0%bc%d0%b8%d1%8f\/%d0%b1%d0%b5%d1%81%d0%bf%d0%bb%d0%b0%d1%82%d0%bd%d1%8b%d0%b9-%d1%82%d0%b5%d1%81%d1%82\/\" style=\"display:inline-block;margin-top:8px;padding:13px 30px;border-radius:8px;font-weight:700;text-decoration:none;background:#0A2540;color:#fff;\">\u041f\u0440\u043e\u0439\u0434\u0438\u0442\u0435 \u043d\u0430\u0448 \u0411\u0415\u0421\u041f\u041b\u0410\u0422\u041d\u042b\u0419 \u0442\u0435\u0441\u0442 \u043d\u0430 \u043e\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0435\u043d\u0438\u0435 \u043c\u0435\u0441\u0442\u0430<\/a><\/div>\n<h2>How do we express future probability in English?<\/h2>\n<p>English uses several types of words and phrases to show how likely something is to happen in the future. We can use:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Modal verbs:<\/strong> \u0422\u0430\u043a\u0438\u0435 \u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0430, \u043a\u0430\u043a <span data-no-translation>will<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>may<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>might<\/span>, \u0438 <span data-no-translation>could<\/span>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Adverbs:<\/strong> \u0422\u0430\u043a\u0438\u0435 \u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0430, \u043a\u0430\u043a <span data-no-translation>certainly<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>probably<\/span>, \u0438 <span data-no-translation>unlikely<\/span>.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Adjectives and phrases:<\/strong> Expressions such as <span data-no-translation>It's likely that...<\/span> \u0438\u043b\u0438 <span data-no-translation>There's a good chance...<\/span>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Let's look at these in more detail, from high probability to low probability.<\/p>\n<h2>Expressing High Probability (75-100%)<\/h2>\n<p>When you are very sure something will happen, or it's almost certain, you can use these expressions:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>Will certainly \/ Certainly will<\/span>:<\/strong> This shows a very high degree of certainty.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>The sun will certainly rise tomorrow.<\/span> (100%)<\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>I will certainly finish my report by Friday.<\/span> (Very high, almost 100%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>Will probably \/ Probably will<\/span>:<\/strong> This means you think it's very likely, but not 100% sure.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>It will probably rain later.<\/span> (Around 75-90%)<\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>They'll probably arrive around 7 PM.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>May well \/ Might well \/ Could well<\/span>:<\/strong> These suggest a strong possibility, often because there's a good reason.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>She may well get the job; she's very qualified.<\/span> (Around 75%)<\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>The project could well be delayed due to bad weather.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>It's (very) likely that...<\/span>:<\/strong> This adjective phrase also shows high probability.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>It's very likely that prices will increase next year.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>I'm sure \/ I'm certain that...<\/span>:<\/strong> These personal expressions show your strong belief.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>I'm sure they'll love the present.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Expressing Medium Probability (50%)<\/h2>\n<p>When you think something has a 50\/50 chance of happening, or it's simply possible, use these:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>May \/ Might \/ Could<\/span>:<\/strong> These modal verbs indicate possibility without strong certainty. <span data-no-translation>May<\/span> is slightly more formal than <span data-no-translation>might<\/span> \u0438\u043b\u0438 <span data-no-translation>could<\/span>.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>I may go to the party, but I haven't decided yet.<\/span> (50%)<\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>They might visit us next summer.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>It could snow tomorrow.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>It's possible that...<\/span>:<\/strong> This phrase directly states a possibility.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>It's possible that the meeting will be cancelled.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>There's a (good) chance that...<\/span>:<\/strong> This phrase suggests a reasonable possibility.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>There's a good chance that we'll finish on time.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Expressing Low Probability (0-25%)<\/h2>\n<p>When you think something is unlikely to happen, or almost impossible, use these expressions:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>Probably won't \/ Won't probably<\/span> (less common):<\/strong> This shows a low likelihood. The adverb <span data-no-translation>probably<\/span> usually comes before <span data-no-translation>won't<\/span>.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>I probably won't have time to call you back today.<\/span> (Around 10-25%)<\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>They probably won't agree with our proposal.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>It's (very) unlikely that...<\/span>:<\/strong> This phrase clearly states a low probability.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>It's very unlikely that I'll win the lottery.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>Almost certainly won't \/ Won't almost certainly<\/span>:<\/strong> This indicates a very low probability, close to 0%.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>She almost certainly won't accept that offer.<\/span> (Very low, almost 0%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-no-translation>There's no chance that...<\/span>:<\/strong> This means it's impossible.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>There's no chance that he'll change his mind now.<\/span> (0%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<table>\n<caption>Summary of Future Probability Expressions<\/caption>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Probability Level<\/th>\n<th>Expressions<\/th>\n<th>\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-no-translation>Very High (90-100%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-no-translation>will certainly<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>certainly will<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>I'm sure\/certain that...<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-no-translation>She will certainly pass the exam.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-no-translation>High (75-90%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-no-translation>will probably<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>probably will<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>may well<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>might well<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>could well<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>It's (very) likely that...<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-no-translation>They'll probably be late.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-no-translation>Medium (50%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-no-translation>may<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>might<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>could<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>It's possible that...<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>There's a (good) chance that...<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-no-translation>I might visit my family next month.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-no-translation>Low (10-25%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-no-translation>probably won't<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>It's (very) unlikely that...<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-no-translation>He probably won't call back.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-no-translation>Very Low (0-10%)<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-no-translation>almost certainly won't<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>There's no chance that...<\/span><\/td>\n<td><span data-no-translation>They almost certainly won't agree.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<h2>\u041f\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0435\u0440\u044b<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>The new restaurant will certainly be popular.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>I'll probably work from home tomorrow.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>She may well get a promotion next year.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>We might go to the beach if the weather is good.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>It could rain later, so take an umbrella.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>It's possible that they'll arrive late.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>There's a good chance of snow this weekend.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>He probably won't remember my name.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>It's unlikely that the project will finish on schedule.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>They almost certainly won't agree to those terms.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u041f\u0440\u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430<\/h2>\n<div class=\"h5p-iframe-wrapper\"><iframe id=\"h5p-iframe-588\" class=\"h5p-iframe\" data-content-id=\"588\" style=\"height:1px\" src=\"about:blank\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" title=\"A03 L1 GRAMMAR Future probability\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<div class=\"lc-cta lc-cta-exam\" style=\"border-radius:14px;padding:30px;margin:30px 0;text-align:center;color:#fff;background:#0A2540;\"><h3 style=\"color:#F2B705;font-size:22px;font-weight:800;margin:0 0 8px;\">\u0413\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0432\u044b \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0443\u0447\u0438\u0442\u044c \u0441\u0435\u0440\u0442\u0438\u0444\u0438\u043a\u0430\u0442?<\/h3><p style=\"margin:0 0 16px;opacity:.92;\">\u041a\u0443\u0440\u0441 Langcom \u0433\u043e\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0438\u0442 \u0441\u0442\u0443\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432 \u043a \u0441\u0434\u0430\u0447\u0435 \u044d\u043a\u0437\u0430\u043c\u0435\u043d\u043e\u0432 Cambridge, IELTS, TOEFL, DELE, SIELE \u0438 Michigan.<\/p><a href=\"\/ru\/\" style=\"display:inline-block;margin-top:8px;padding:13px 30px;border-radius:8px;font-weight:700;text-decoration:none;background:#F2B705;color:#0A2540;\">\u041d\u0430\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0442\u0435 \u0440\u0430\u0431\u043e\u0442\u0443 \u0441 Langcom<\/a><\/div>\n<h2>\u0420\u0430\u0441\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0430\u043d\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044b\u0435 \u043e\u0448\u0438\u0431\u043a\u0438 \u0443 \u043d\u043e\u0441\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u0435\u0439 \u0438\u0441\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433\u043e \u044f\u0437\u044b\u043a\u0430<\/h2>\n<p>Spanish speakers sometimes make mistakes when expressing future probability due to direct translation or incorrect word order.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Incorrect placement of <span data-no-translation>probably<\/span>:<\/strong> In English, <span data-no-translation>probably<\/span> usually comes between the modal verb and the main verb, or before <span data-no-translation>won't<\/span>.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>Incorrect: I will go probably.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>Correct: I will probably go.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>Correct: I probably won't go.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>Incorrect: I won't probably go.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0421\u0431\u0438\u0432\u0430\u044e\u0449\u0435\u0435 \u0441 \u0442\u043e\u043b\u043a\u0443 <span data-no-translation>may<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>might<\/span>, \u0438 <span data-no-translation>could<\/span>:<\/strong> While often interchangeable for possibility, remember <span data-no-translation>may well<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>might well<\/span>, \u0438 <span data-no-translation>could well<\/span> suggest a stronger, more reasoned possibility.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>I may go to the cinema.<\/span> (Simple possibility)<\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>I may well go to the cinema, as I have nothing else to do.<\/span> (Stronger possibility with a reason)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0418\u0441\u043f\u043e\u043b\u044c\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u0435 <span data-no-translation>is possible<\/span> \u0432\u043c\u0435\u0441\u0442\u043e <span data-no-translation>it's possible<\/span>:<\/strong> Remember to use the impersonal subject <span data-no-translation>it<\/span>.\n<ul>\n<li><span data-no-translation>Incorrect: Is possible that it rains.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-no-translation>Correct: It's possible that it will rain.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>\u0427\u0430\u0441\u0442\u043e \u0437\u0430\u0434\u0430\u0432\u0430\u0435\u043c\u044b\u0435 \u0432\u043e\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0441\u044b<\/h2>\n<h3>What is the difference between 'will probably' and 'may well'?<\/h3>\n<p><span data-no-translation>Will probably<\/span> suggests a high likelihood based on general expectation or common sense, like <span data-no-translation>It will probably be cold in winter.<\/span> <span data-no-translation>May well<\/span> (\u0438\u043b\u0438 <span data-no-translation>might well<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>could well<\/span>) suggests a strong possibility often supported by a specific reason or evidence, for example, <span data-no-translation>She may well get the promotion; she has the most experience.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>Can I use 'will' for 100% certainty?<\/h3>\n<p>\u0414\u0430, <span data-no-translation>will<\/span> can express 100% certainty when talking about facts or scheduled events, like <span data-no-translation>The train will depart at 10 AM.<\/span> However, when we add adverbs like <span data-no-translation>certainly<\/span> \u0438\u043b\u0438 <span data-no-translation>probably<\/span>, we are indicating a degree of certainty that is less than absolute fact.<\/p>\n<h3>Is there a difference in formality between 'may' and 'might'?<\/h3>\n<p><span data-no-translation>May<\/span> is generally considered slightly more formal than <span data-no-translation>might<\/span>, but both are used to express possibility. In many contexts, they are interchangeable. <span data-no-translation>Could<\/span> is also very common for possibility.<\/p>\n<h3>How can I practice these expressions for my B2 exam?<\/h3>\n<p>For B2 exams, practice using these expressions in speaking and writing tasks. For example, when asked to discuss future plans or make predictions, try to use a range of probability expressions to show nuance, such as <span data-no-translation>It's highly likely that...<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>I might consider...<\/span>, \u0438\u043b\u0438 <span data-no-translation>It's very unlikely that...<\/span>. Pay attention to their correct placement in sentences.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>To express future probability in English, we use a variety of modal verbs, adverbs, and phrases to show how certain or uncertain we are about an event happening. These expressions allow us to communicate different degrees of likelihood, from almost 100% certain to almost 0% certain. For example, we use will certainly for high probability, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":192,"featured_media":273728,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"bwfblock_default_font":"","langcom_teaches":"Future probability","langcom_cefr":"B2","langcom_type":"grammar","langcom_faq":"[{\"q\": \"What is the difference between 'will probably' and 'may well'?\", \"a\": \"<p><span data-no-translation>Will probably<\/span> suggests a high likelihood based on general expectation or common sense, like <span data-no-translation>It will probably be cold in winter.<\/span> <span data-no-translation>May well<\/span> (or <span data-no-translation>might well<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>could well<\/span>) suggests a strong possibility often supported by a specific reason or evidence, for example, <span data-no-translation>She may well get the promotion; she has the most experience.<\/span><\/p>\"}, {\"q\": \"Can I use 'will' for 100% certainty?\", \"a\": \"<p>Yes, <span data-no-translation>will<\/span> can express 100% certainty when talking about facts or scheduled events, like <span data-no-translation>The train will depart at 10 AM.<\/span> However, when we add adverbs like <span data-no-translation>certainly<\/span> or <span data-no-translation>probably<\/span>, we are indicating a degree of certainty that is less than absolute fact.<\/p>\"}, {\"q\": \"Is there a difference in formality between 'may' and 'might'?\", \"a\": \"<p><span data-no-translation>May<\/span> is generally considered slightly more formal than <span data-no-translation>might<\/span>, but both are used to express possibility. In many contexts, they are interchangeable. <span data-no-translation>Could<\/span> is also very common for possibility.<\/p>\"}, {\"q\": \"How can I practice these expressions for my B2 exam?\", \"a\": \"<p>For B2 exams, practice using these expressions in speaking and writing tasks. For example, when asked to discuss future plans or make predictions, try to use a range of probability expressions to show nuance, such as <span data-no-translation>It's highly likely that...<\/span>, <span data-no-translation>I might consider...<\/span>, or <span data-no-translation>It's very unlikely that...<\/span>. Pay attention to their correct placement in sentences.<\/p>\"}]","_kiss_seo_title":"B2 English: Express Future Probability","_kiss_seo_excerpt":"Learn how to express future probability in English at B2 level. Use modal verbs, adverbs, and phrases to show how certain you are about future events.","_mwseo_canonical":"","_mwseo_keywords":null,"_mwseo_primary_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[588],"tags":[848,651],"formats":[],"class_list":["post-273026","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-b2-upper-intermediate-english","tag-future-probability","tag-grammar"],"dsm_author":{"name":"\u0420\u0430\u0443\u043b\u044c","avatar_url":"https:\/\/langcom.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/nsl_avatars\/1de86ea706740d324aaef3dd8bf0843b.png","archive_link":"https:\/\/langcom.org\/ru\/blog\/author\/raulmaguinahamann\/","biodata":""},"dsm_categories":[{"term_name":"B2 Upper Intermediate 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